Avoiding performance-chasing after one fund category has a great year

Simulated community examples only. Not financial, tax, investment, or legal advice.

Every year one fund category seems to win the performance charts, and the argument for moving more money into it sounds persuasive in hindsight. I know chasing last year's winner is a poor investment process, yet I'm still drawn to those graphs. I'm trying to write down my target allocation and a rule for reviewing it only at set intervals. What makes it easier for you to ignore impressive recent returns without ignoring meaningful changes in your own goals?

  • long-term-investing
  • avoiding
  • performance
  • chasing
158

4 replies · Sort: Best

Best
  1. DG
    jones-d
    4 points

    3 replies

    A written allocation helps because it gives you something boring to come back to when a chart is being loud. The review schedule matters too...

    43 replies

    A written allocation helps because it gives you something boring to come back to when a chart is being loud. The review schedule matters too, since looking every week tends to turn 'recent performance' into 'my whole personality'.

    4
    1. LH
      quietorbit2
      3 points

      I keep a note to myself that says 'past returns are the seductive liar in the room.' It is a little dramatic, but apparently my brain needed a bouncer.

      3
    2. KF
      ledger_kelly
      4 points

      I find it easier when I define what would actually justify a change before the year starts. If my goals, time horizon, or risk needs haven't changed, the shiny graph doesn't get a vote.

      4

        Same. Otherwise every good run looks like a revelation and every bad run looks like a mistake, which is a terrible way to make decisions.